Fundamental Analysis: A Warmer Winter Powered by DeFi

Akado
4 min readMar 15, 2021

Disclaimer: I own some of the tokens mentioned. This is not investment advice, just sharing some research on what seems to be the next big trend in crypto. If you find this article useful, feel free to follow me on Twitter @AkadoSang

Good morning to Keanu Reeves only.

A Recap of the Last Year

Let’s do a recap on following post from one year ago and how DeFi changed since then:

Since then, the narrative played out. DeFi grew exponentially and it’s been the strongest sector in crypto ever since. Let’s take a look at how things changed.

At the time of the previous post, DeFi had peaked at $1 billion TVL. Today it has over $43 billion. A 43x increase in one single year.

DeFi TVL growth since 1 year ago

A few tokens were mentioned too. For reference I will use Coinmarketcap’s Historical Snapshot on 01 March 2020

Maker | Then: $544 | Now: $2015 | 3.7x returns

Synthetix | Then: $0.80| Now: $19| 23.75x returns

ThorChain | Then: $0.095| Now: $5.60 | 58x returns (+ weekly 1% rewards since then which would amount to an even bigger number)

Kyber | Then: $0.79| Now: $2.07 | 2.6x returns

AAVE | Then: $0.025 adjusted would be $2.5 now| Now: $370 | 148x returns

Other DeFi tokens not mentioned in the post that performed well too since then:

BNT |Then: $0.27| Now: | $7.60 | 28x returns

REN| Then: $0.055| Now: |$1.07 | 19x returns

ZRX |Then: $0.23| Now: | $1.35 | 5.8x returns

At the time these were mostly it. There wasn’t any $UNI, $SUSHI, $1INCH, $YFI and a bunch of other tokens that have performed multiples since their inception. There wasn’t DeFi on Binance Chain and Solana didn’t even exist. According to Coingecko, DeFi now sits at a whooping $85 billion marketcap expanding across multiple chains. Chains that are even starting to integrate with each other.

What’s next for DeFi?

I’ve written what begun as a post but ended up being condensed in 16 pages so I guess it can now be called a report on where I see DeFi going the next few years. It includes:

  • A sector that is mostly considered as a failed experiment but is yet to have it’s real chance
  • The next big trending sector in DeFi
  • Where DAOs are going and what to look for in them
  • How to play DeFi during the next Winter
  • A few goodies because I guess that’s what most want. A list of a few solid tokens
  • Multiple tldr; along the way for the lazy ones
  • and more

Keep in mind the report is based on fundamentals and where I see DeFi going. Then I apply that to the market to try and make the most out of it. It’s not a list of shitcoins to degen on, price targets or “wen top”.

Akado keeping the Homies warm during Winter

What if you could go back in time with all these bull market gains and start over again? Compound them all over again for another 100x? If you missed out on the previous article predicting DeFi season, don’t worry, you have another chance :)

Guess I’m announcing the first Alfafa NFT ever done? The document will be put up for sale as an NFT. After buying you’ll get access to the link.

To keep the process fair and instead of placing a ridiculous ask price where idgaf if it’s filled cause you’re the ones missing out, I’ll do as some homies have asked. The process will be as follows:

  • 1 copy will be sold as an auction.
  • Whatever price is hit, it will set the price of the remaining copies.
  • Limit of 200 ETH for all copies.
  • This means the higher you bid the more people you can price out of this precious alfafa. For example, if the first copy is sold for 50 ETH, only 3 more will be sold. Let the game theories begin and the homies to pool ETH together to price out the competition.
  • The number of copies will be rounded down: for example if someone bids 32 ETH, I can’t make 6,25 copies, meaning only 6 would be sold to keep it limited.

EDIT: It’s done, you can now bid on it at OpenSea
https://opensea.io/assets/0x60f80121c31a0d46b5279700f9df786054aa5ee5/462028

EDIT: The auction has ended with success! You can now bid on the final copies on the following link. Only 3 more are available from a total of 15!
https://rarible.com/token/0xd07dc4262bcdbf85190c01c996b4c06a461d2430:364477:0x222d63aba62b0929f26669c805e6bf2365bb1f5e

I think that’s all. Have fun.

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